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03556nas a22003377a 4500 |
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20210414153413.0 |
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| 022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER |
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| International Standard Serial Number |
1888-6116 |
| 040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE |
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| Transcribing agency |
Salus Infirmorum |
| 245 00 - TITLE STATEMENT |
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| Title |
Evolución de la morbilidad hospitalaria por accidente de tráfico en la Comunidad de Madrid en el periodo 2004-2008 = |
| Remainder of title |
Evolution of motor vehicle-related injuries hospital admissions in the Community of Madrid (Spain) between 2004 and 2008 / |
| Statement of responsibility, etc. |
Díaz Martín A |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE |
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| General note |
Este artículo se encuentra disponible en su edición impresa. |
| 504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE |
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| Bibliography, etc. note |
Bibliografía: p.71-72 |
| 520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC. |
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| Summary, etc. |
Objetivos: Analizar la frecuencia y la distribución en la serie temporal de los ingresos hospitalarios por lesiones causadas en accidente de tráfico. Facilitar la planificación sanitaria mediante la predicción, para los próximos años, de la evolución de los ingresos. Ajustar la asignación de recursos a las previsiones, buscando la máxima eficiencia y equidad.<br/>Material y Métodos: Se incluyen los 748 ingresos registrados en el Hospital 12 de Octubre entre enero del 2004 y diciembre del 2008 con lesiones traumáticas graves (ISS > 9), causadas por accidente de tráfico o atropello por vehículo a motor. Se ha desarrollado un modelo matemático mediante técnicas de previsión y predicción con estacionalidad para facilitar un pronóstico de casos futuros.<br/>Resultados: No se ha alcanzado un ajuste aceptable con ninguno de los modelos matemáticos aplicados. Las dos actuaciones analizadas: nueva Ley de Seguridad Vial; y apertura simultánea de 8 nuevos hospitales en la Comunidad de Madrid, no parecen haber influido de forma estadísticamente significativa en el número de ingresos.<br/>Conclusiones: A partir de los resultados estadísticos obtenidos no parece posible realizar una predicción fiable sobre la evolución futura de la demanda. |
| 520 8# - SUMMARY, ETC. |
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| Summary, etc. |
Objectives: Objectives: To analyze the frequency and distribution in the time series of hospital admissions for injuries in traffic accidents. Facilitate health planning by predicting, for the coming years, changes in admissions. Adjust the allocation of resources to the forecasts, seeking maximum efficiency and equity.<br/>Material and Methods: From January 2004 to December 2008, 748 admissions with severe traumatic injuries (ISS> 9) caused by traffic accident, or being hit by motor vehicle, were recorded in the Hospital 12 de Octubre. We have developed a mathematical model using techniques of forecasting and seasonal forecasting to provide a forecast of future cases.<br/>Results: We have not achieved an acceptable fit with any of the mathematical models applied. The two performances analyzed: new Road Safety Law, and simultaneous opening of 8 new hospitals in the Madrid region, seem not to have a statistically significant influence on the number of admissions.<br/>Conclusions: From the statistical results obtained, it didn´t seem possible to make a reliable prediction on the future evolution of demand. |
| 653 14 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED |
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| Uncontrolled term |
lesiones |
| 653 14 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED |
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| Uncontrolled term |
accidente de tráfico |
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| Uncontrolled term |
bases de datos |
| 653 14 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED |
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| Uncontrolled term |
Salud pública |
| 653 14 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED |
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| Uncontrolled term |
planificación sanitaria |
| 653 14 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED |
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| Uncontrolled term |
injury |
| 653 14 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED |
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| Uncontrolled term |
accident |
| 653 14 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED |
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| Uncontrolled term |
databases |
| 653 14 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED |
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| Uncontrolled term |
public health |
| 653 14 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED |
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| Uncontrolled term |
health planning |
| 773 ## - HOST ITEM ENTRY |
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| Related parts |
-- 2011, v. 22, 1, p. 65-72 |
| Title |
Trauma |
| 856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS |
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| Uniform Resource Identifier |
<a href="http://www.mapfre.com/fundacion/html/revistas/trauma/v22n1/pdf/02_12.pdf">http://www.mapfre.com/fundacion/html/revistas/trauma/v22n1/pdf/02_12.pdf</a> |
| Link text |
Acceso al documento |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) |
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| Source of classification or shelving scheme |
Universal Decimal Classification |
| Koha item type |
Artículo de revista |
